Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 3.710440 3.952669 4.213569 4.517466 4.864338 5.251179 5.719937
2025-03-30 3.362937 3.688601 4.059683 4.520645 5.088177 5.779036 6.709391
2025-04-06 3.060946 3.431580 3.872547 4.449522 5.207474 6.207491 7.705069
2025-04-13 2.781484 3.169164 3.645690 4.295139 5.195144 6.469527 8.582201
2025-04-20 2.644644 3.066584 3.604199 4.371905 5.506322 7.264987 10.632606
2025-04-27 2.531012 2.981323 3.574202 4.459091 5.853175 8.235863 13.680314
2025-05-04 2.461412 2.946049 3.606119 4.639232 6.389633 9.765578 19.778737
2025-05-11 2.366213 2.866969 3.567213 4.705985 6.758529 11.189726 29.034690
2025-05-18 2.263541 2.768711 3.489902 4.699585 6.997014 12.499793 44.611392
2025-05-25 2.128078 2.614591 3.315958 4.510007 6.837301 12.725819 57.027933
2025-06-01 2.032348 2.511422 3.210939 4.425556 6.877847 13.589882 96.497970
2025-06-08 1.956313 2.431975 3.135837 4.383872 7.002650 14.860873 311.118313
2025-06-15 1.891501 2.372380 3.098319 4.427426 7.392787 17.855076 NaN
2025-06-22 1.818067 2.295861 3.028387 4.404072 7.633453 20.900912 NaN
2025-06-29 1.738997 2.206502 2.931109 4.316957 7.695458 23.449564 NaN
2025-07-06 1.653636 2.103285 2.804108 4.157152 7.522226 24.395667 NaN
2025-07-13 1.613893 2.067921 2.787738 4.218746 8.013669 32.887017 NaN
2025-07-20 1.578838 2.037626 2.777322 4.291994 8.592891 49.433290 NaN
2025-07-27 1.558960 2.029802 2.804898 4.452916 9.586896 119.687192 NaN
2025-08-03 1.525311 1.997876 2.786947 4.509514 10.260840 631.435415 NaN
2025-08-10 1.485401 1.953644 2.743278 4.499610 10.674081 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 1.427027 1.876780 2.635149 4.321577 10.246716 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 1.384609 1.824492 2.569652 4.241399 10.264251 NaN NaN